The downward sales trend continued during the month of September 2019 but aggregate new car sales results reflected some positivity with a modest decline of only 0.9%, largely due to strong sales to the rental industry during the period. Every 1 in 4 passenger cars sold during the month was for the rental channel, accounting for 27.3% of local volume. September 2019 was the largest volume month of the year so far and the second best-performing month year-on-year after the 0.7% increase recorded in April 2019.
“On the upside, there were 3,707 units more volume in the market during September than in August,” says Ghana Msibi, WesBank Executive Head of Motor.
“WesBank’s own inflation data largely mirrors that of the general economy, our average deal size slightly above the South African number,” says Msibi. “This infers that new and used car price inflation falls within the general affordability challenge for cash-strapped South African households.”
“Of greater concern is the need for South Africans to extend their car repayment contracts towards the maximum 72 months, while adding balloon payments to reduce the monthly instalment amount. Consumers should remain cautious of over-extending themselves and should rather buy at a more affordable price than use other finance mechanisms to fall within budget” warns Msibi.
Aggregate new car sales of 49 191 units down 0.9% (- 439 units) compared with September 2018
New passenger car sales of 33 139 units up by 1.1% (+358 units) compared with September 2018
New LCV sales of 13 473 down by 6.2% (-894 units) compared with September 2018
Export sales down of 35 657 down by 3.0% (-1 097 units) compared with September 2018
Toyota – 11 891 units
Volkswagen – 8 641 units
Nissan – 5 002 units
Ford – 4 664 units
Hyundai – 2 826 units
The new Volkswagen T-Cross sold 810 units in its first month on the market in South Africa!
Toyota Hilux – 3 410 units
Volkswagen Polo Vivo – 2 540 units
Volkswagen Polo – 2 326 units
Ford Ranger – 2 321 units
Nissan NP200 – 2 250 units
Toyota Hi-Ace – 1 482 units
Toyota Corolla Quest – 1 353 units
Isuzu D-Max – 1 197 units
Ford Figo – 1 128 units
Renault Kwid – 956 units
Predictions earlier in the year pointed to improved economic conditions in the second half of 2019 but those predictions have so far failed to materialise. With one quarter left in the year, hopes are high that the industry will experience some positive results in the final 3 months of the year.
Ghana Msibi commented, “The bank’s forecast for the year always relied on a better-performing second half,” says Msibi. “The delay in any signs of improvement have thwarted industry to achieve these numbers. But on a practical business level, industry should be pleased by the September numbers and will be hoping that remains a trend as we enter the fourth quarter.”
In conclusion, “There are definitely more positive economic indicators that will hopefully stimulate improved consumer and business confidence,” says Msibi. “If the country can sustain these conditions, the motor industry should enjoy some relief to the end of the year, while South Africans might be able to reap some reward.”